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CarbonLayer SAF China Reference · live dashboard
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Dashboard Scoreboard Methodology

Cell

Layers

Freshness

  • All sources fresh

Attribution to forward components

·
2026-05-05 (today) 7-day window

Scoreboard — rolling skill metrics

For each forecast we make, we wait until reality catches up, then publicly measure how wrong we were vs. the dumbest possible alternative. If we're not at least 15% better than dumb, we don't publish — and we say so.

A (cell, horizon) publishes its forecast publicly only if its rolling 90-day MAE is < 0.85 × the naive baseline. Below, gated cells are flagged.

Cell Horizon Window MAE Naive MAE Skill ratio Hit rate Band cov N Published?